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Creators/Authors contains: "Thelen, Weston"

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  1. Quantitative estimates of magma storage are fundamental to evaluating volcanic dynamics and hazards. Yet our understanding of subvolcanic magmatic plumbing systems and their variability remains limited. There is ongoing debate regarding the ephemerality of shallow magma storage and its volume relative to eruptive output, and so whether an upper-crustal magma body could be a sign of imminent eruption. Here we present seismic imaging of subvolcanic magmatic systems along the Cascade Range arc from systematically modelling the three-dimensional scattered wavefield of teleseismic body waves. This reveals compelling evidence of low-seismic-velocity bodies indicative of partial melt between 5 and 15 km depth beneath most Cascade Range volcanoes. The magma reservoirs beneath these volcanoes vary in depth, size and complexity, but upper-crustal magma bodies are widespread, irrespective of the eruptive flux or time since the last eruption of the associated volcano. This indicates that large volumes of melts can persist at shallow depth throughout eruption cycles beneath large volcanoes. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available February 1, 2026
  2. Abstract Seismicity at restless volcanoes commonly features a variety of signal types reflecting both volcanotectonic and fluid-driven source processes. However, traditional catalogs of seismicity are often incomplete, especially concerning events with emergent onsets such as those driven by the dynamics of magmatic and hydrothermal fluids. The detection of all discrete events and continuous seismic tremors, regardless of the underlying source processes, would therefore improve the ability of monitoring agencies to forecast eruptions and mitigate their associated hazards. We present a workflow for generalized detection of seismic events based on the network covariance matrix (Seydoux et al., 2016). Our contributions enable the method to simultaneously detect continuous and short-duration (<∼10 s) events, provide information about the frequency content of the signals, and to refine the initial detection times by an order of magnitude (from window lengths of 75 to 7.5 s). We test the workflow on a 15-month record of seismicity with 23 stations at Mammoth Mountain, California (July 2012–October 2013) and detect 62% of long-period events and 94% of volcanotectonic events in the existing Northern California Earthquake Data Center catalog. In addition, ∼3000 events are not included in the catalog, and thousands of tremor signals are found. The method is suitable for near-real-time analysis of continuous waveforms and can provide a valuable supplement to existing algorithms to improve the completeness of catalogs used for monitoring volcanoes. 
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  3. Bahadori, Alireza (Ed.)
    Article Published: 27 May 2024 Explosive 2018 eruptions at Kīlauea driven by a collapse-induced stomp-rocket mechanism Josh Crozier, Josef Dufek, Leif Karlstrom, Kyle R. Anderson, Ryan Cahalan, Weston Thelen, Mary Benage & Chao Liang Nature Geoscience volume 17, pages572–578 (2024)Cite this article 1357 Accesses 430 Altmetric Metricsdetails Abstract Explosive volcanic eruptions produce hazardous atmospheric plumes composed of tephra particles, hot gas and entrained air. Such eruptions are generally driven by magmatic fragmentation or steam expansion. However, an eruption mechanism outside this phreatic–magmatic spectrum was suggested by a sequence of 12 explosive eruptions in May 2018 at Kīlauea, Hawaii, that occurred during the early stages of caldera collapse and produced atmospheric plumes reaching 8 km above the vent. Here we use seismic inversions for reservoir pressure as a source condition for three-dimensional simulations of transient multiphase eruptive plume ascent through a conduit and stratified atmosphere. We compare the simulations with conduit ascent times inferred from seismic and infrasound data, and with plume heights from radar data. We find that the plumes are consistent with eruptions caused by a stomp-rocket mechanism involving the abrupt subsidence of reservoir roof rock that increased pressure in the underlying magma reservoir. In our model, the reservoir was overlain by a pocket of accumulated high-temperature magmatic gas and lithic debris, which were driven through a conduit approximately 600 m long to erupt particles at rates of around 3,000 m3 s−1. Our results reveal a distinct collapse-driven type of eruption and provide a framework for integrating diverse geophysical and atmospheric data with simulations to gain a better understanding of unsteady explosive eruptions. 
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  4. Deep long-period earthquakes (DLPs) are an enigmatic type of volcanic seismicity that sometimes precedes eruptions but mostly occurs at quiescent volcanoes. These earthquakes are depleted in high-frequency content and typically occur near the base of the crust. We observed a near-periodic, long-lived sequence of more than one million DLPs in the past 19 years beneath the dormant postshield Mauna Kea volcano in Hawaiʻi. We argue that this DLP sequence was caused by repeated pressurization of volatiles exsolved through crystallization of cooling magma stalled beneath the crust. This “second boiling” of magma is a well-known process but has not previously been linked to DLP activity. Our observations suggest that, rather than portending eruptions, global DLP activity may more commonly be indicative of stagnant, cooling magma. 
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